YPO.org
   

The only CEO economic sentiment indicator to span the globe on a quarterly basis.

The YPO Global Pulse survey gathers the perspectives of YPO members around the globe regarding the overall current economic climate in their region, as well as expected changes in sales, employee counts and fixed investment affecting their businesses. » Learn more

Last Updated: 1 November 2016 | Next Update: February 2017

MODEST DROP IN GLOBAL ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MASKS REGIONAL DIVERGENCES

3Q 2016, October Results

The YPO Global Pulse Confidence Index fell 0.5 point to 59.2 in 3Q 2016. While this represents a small overall decline, wide divergences in economic confidence were recorded among the world’s largest economies. Economic confidence in the United States fell 0.4 point in 3Q 2016 from 60.8 to 60.4, coinciding with reduction of GDP growth forecasts from 3.0 to nearly 2.0 percent. The European Union YPO Global Pulse Confidence Index rose 2.2 points after reporting a significant decline of 3.1 points the previous quarter, following the British vote to leave the EU. In Asia, economic confidence declined by 2.9 points in 3Q 2016 to 60.0, dragged down by a 7.9-point drop in confidence to 52.6 among ASEAN countries. The YPO Global Pulse Confidence Index in India fell 2.0 points in 3Q 2016 to 66.0 while China’s confidence remained relatively steady at 61.4. In Japan, economic confidence rose 1.1 points to 55.1 in 3Q 2016, far below the 60.0 overall index for Asia. Confidence in Latin America continued to climb, up 1.5 points to 55.9, bolstered by a 7.7-point jump in Brazil to 56.6. After a significant rebound last quarter of 5.4 points, business leaders in Canada reported lower levels of confidence with a 3.1-point drop to 56.8. MENA CEO economic confidence fell to 53.9, its lowest level in the history of the survey, as oil-producing countries in the region – Saudi Arabia in particular – continue to be affected by the drop in oil prices.

Overall economic confidence of the survey participants on a scale of 0-100, with 50 being neutral
Level of confidence of the survey participants that sales will increase over the next 12 months (0-100 scale, with 50 being neutral)
Level of confidence of the survey participants that their total number of employees will increase over the next 12 months (0-100 scale, with 50 being neutral)
Level of confidence of the survey participants that they will increase capital spending over the next 12 months (0-100 scale, with 50 being neutral)
Date Range Selector:
Using your cursor, slide the frame or pull on its sides to select the time frame to display.
All Index
Change?
GP3Q16 infographic

Regional Findings - 3Q 2016

Most recent quarter results, compared to last year

Sales
Employment
Fixed Investment

 

Expected results one year from now, compared to today

Sales
Employment
Fixed Investment
For more information about the YPO Global Pulse, contact ypoglobalpulse@ypo.org.
Download a description of the YPO Global Pulse.

Future YPO Global Pulse survey results will be announced in February 2017, May 2017 and August 2017.

Terms of Use – Ownership and Use of Materials All information, data, and text contained on the ypo.org site (collectively, “Materials”) are owned, controlled or licensed by or to YPO, and are protected by copyright and various other intellectual property rights. Except as expressly provided herein, you may not copy, republish, distribute, prepare derivative works, modify, or otherwise use the Materials. With respect to the Materials related to the YPO Global Pulse, YPO grants you a limited, revocable license to republish unaltered Global Pulse Materials provided that you provide attribution to YPO and include the following notice with your republication: © YPO. You may not alter, sell, or rent any Global Pulse Materials.

Disclaimer – Nothing in these Materials constitutes investment, account, legal, regulatory, tax or other advice.