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YPO Global Pulse

   

The only CEO economic sentiment indicator to span the globe on a quarterly basis.

The YPO Global Pulse survey gathers the perspectives of YPO members around the globe regarding the overall current economic climate in their region, as well as expected changes in sales, employee counts and fixed investment affecting their businesses. » Learn more

 

Last Updated: 10 May 2016 | Next Update: August 2016

ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE REMAINS STEADY IN 1Q 2016
1Q 2016, April Results

Globally, in the first quarter of 2016, the YPO Global Pulse Index composite score remained steady at 58.3, reflecting a relatively optimistic economic outlook. After four consecutive quarters of declining confidence, economic sentiment for the United States remained steady in the first quarter of the year, climbing 0.5 point to 59.6. Confidence in Africa plummeted last year, declining for three consecutive quarters to land at 51.0 in the fourth quarter of 2015, its lowest level in the seven-year history of the survey. Despite the modest increase in confidence in the first quarter of 2016, Africa still trails the global composite score of 58.3 by 5.1 points, and is only ahead of one region, Latin America, in the global rankings. Economic sentiment for Asia remained steady at an optimistic 60.0 in the first quarter of this year, despite significant fluctuations in confidence within the region. For the third consecutive quarter, European Union business leaders recorded the highest levels of economic confidence in the world, climbing to 61.6. The Middle East and North Africa confidence index decreased for the sixth consecutive quarter, falling to 55.6. Only once before in the seven-year history of the quarterly survey has confidence amongst business leaders in the MENA region dropped to this level, which was during the fourth quarter of 2011 at the height of the global economic crisis. Latin America continues to rank as the most pessimistic region in the world, with another significant drop in confidence recorded in 1Q 2016 by 3.6 points to 50.8.

Overall economic confidence of the survey participants on a scale of 0-100, with 50 being neutral
Level of confidence of the survey participants that sales will increase over the next 12 months (0-100 scale, with 50 being neutral)
Level of confidence of the survey participants that their total number of employees will increase over the next 12 months (0-100 scale, with 50 being neutral)
Level of confidence of the survey participants that they will increase capital spending over the next 12 months (0-100 scale, with 50 being neutral)
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GP1Q16 infographic

Regional Findings - 1Q 2016

Most recent quarter results, compared to last year

Sales
Employment
Fixed Investment

 

Expected results one year from now, compared to today

Sales
Employment
Fixed Investment

For more information about the YPO Global Pulse, contact ypoglobalpulse@ypo.org.
Download a description of the YPO Global Pulse.

Future YPO Global Pulse survey results will be announced in August 2016, November 2016 and February 2017.

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Disclaimer – Nothing in these Materials constitutes investment, account, legal, regulatory, tax or other advice.